2024年华数杯国际数学建模B 光伏电（Problem B: Photovoltaic Power）完整论文

CC数模-优质解答

Photovoltaic Power(完整内容见文末附件!)

Summary

China is facing a complex interplay of factors in its electricity supply, encompassing economic conditions, energy demand, renewable energy policies, and more. This study employs mathematical modeling to focus on the future trends in China’s electricity supply, the feasibility of photovoltaic power plant construction, the maximum potential of photovoltaic power generation, and the viability of replacing coal-fired power generation with clean energy to achieve the government’s carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals by 2060. The research aims to provide scientific decision support for China’s sustainable energy development.

Firstly, a detailed analysis of the future trends in China’s electricity supply was conducted using a time series model. Considering factors such as economic conditions, energy demand, and policy changes, the study predicts the development trends in China’s electricity supply from 2024 to 2060. The model incorporates seasonality in electricity demand and the impact of economic growth on energy demand, offering valuable insights for future electricity planning.

Secondly, the feasibility of photovoltaic power plant construction was examined. Through a comprehensive cost-benefit analysis, accounting for geographical and lighting conditions, a specific region was selected for discussion. Mathematical modeling was employed to consider factors like construction costs, operational costs, and electricity revenue, providing substantive research on the feasibility of photovoltaic power plants.

Next, the study investigated the maximum potential of photovoltaic power generation in China. Combining geographical resources, investment capacity, and cost-benefit considerations for multiple photovoltaic power stations, the assessment of the maximum potential involved in-depth research into geographical resources, investment capacity, and the economic benefits of photovoltaic power generation.

Following that, the feasibility of replacing coal-fired power generation to achieve carbon peak and carbon neutrality goals was explored. By studying China’s strategic planning for the sustainable development of photovoltaic power generation, the analysis considered economic and environmental benefits. This step involved research into technological innovation in photovoltaic power generation, government policy support, carbon trading, and more, providing a scientific basis for achieving China’s carbon neutrality goals.

Finally, a one-page letter was composed based on the research results, addressing recommendations and viewpoints on electricity supply, the feasibility of photovoltaic power generation, and carbon neutrality goals. The letter emphasized the integration of electricity supply with renewable energy, potential locations for photovoltaic power plant construction, economic benefits of photovoltaic power generation, and the necessity of replacing coal-fired power generation.

In conclusion, this study, through in-depth mathematical modeling, offers a comprehensive analysis of China’s future electricity supply and renewable energy development. The research not only focuses on the overall trends in electricity supply but also delves into the feasibility, potential, and necessity of photovoltaic power generation, providing scientific decision support for China’s clean and sustainable energy future.

Keywords:electricity supply, photovoltaic power generation, sustainable energy, carbon neutrality,

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